Thursday, July 31, 2008
Let's Quit Calling It A War On Terror!
Something I hope all Democratic candidates will do with more forethought is to change the issues language of the campaign. Democrats are sometimes too quick to respond to Republican rhetoric with a negative, rather than a thoughtfully crafted positively worded position statement.
I know it works -- remember in the 1970s when the "pro-life" movement tried to co-opt Americans into believing that if liberals were for abortions and family planning it meant liberals were "anti-life?" Thoughtful Democrats successfully coined the phrase "pro-choice" and since that phrase coinage progressives have been able to accurately refer to Republicans as "anti-choice." Consider the difference in the images brought to mind.
Words do matter! Consider a recent report from the nonpartisan Rand Corp. political think tank that flatly states, "The U.S. Should Rethink 'War On Terrorism' Strategy to Deal with Resurgent Al Qaida."
In looking at how other terrorist groups have ended, the RAND study found that most terrorist groups end either because they join the political process, or because local police and intelligence efforts arrest or kill key members. Police and intelligence agencies, rather than the military, should be the tip of the spear against al Qaida in most of the world, and the United States should abandon the use of the phrase "war on terrorism," the RAND researchers concluded.
"The United States also should avoid the use of the term, 'war on terror,' and replace it with the term 'counter terrorism.' Nearly every U.S. ally, including the United Kingdom and Australia, has stopped using 'war on terror,' and it's more than a mere matter of semantics," says Seth Jones, the RAND study lead author and a political scientist at RAND.
I know it works -- remember in the 1970s when the "pro-life" movement tried to co-opt Americans into believing that if liberals were for abortions and family planning it meant liberals were "anti-life?" Thoughtful Democrats successfully coined the phrase "pro-choice" and since that phrase coinage progressives have been able to accurately refer to Republicans as "anti-choice." Consider the difference in the images brought to mind.
Words do matter! Consider a recent report from the nonpartisan Rand Corp. political think tank that flatly states, "The U.S. Should Rethink 'War On Terrorism' Strategy to Deal with Resurgent Al Qaida."
In looking at how other terrorist groups have ended, the RAND study found that most terrorist groups end either because they join the political process, or because local police and intelligence efforts arrest or kill key members. Police and intelligence agencies, rather than the military, should be the tip of the spear against al Qaida in most of the world, and the United States should abandon the use of the phrase "war on terrorism," the RAND researchers concluded.
"The United States also should avoid the use of the term, 'war on terror,' and replace it with the term 'counter terrorism.' Nearly every U.S. ally, including the United Kingdom and Australia, has stopped using 'war on terror,' and it's more than a mere matter of semantics," says Seth Jones, the RAND study lead author and a political scientist at RAND.
The study contends the Bush Administration committed a fundamental error in strategic thinking by portraying the conflict with al-Qaeda as a "war on terrorism." The phrase falsely suggests that there can be a battlefield solution to terrorists, and symbolically conveys warrior status on terrorists.
"The term we use to describe our strategy toward terrorists is important, because it affects what kinds of forces you use," Jones said. "Terrorists should be perceived and described as criminals, not holy warriors, and our analysis suggests that there is no battlefield solution to terrorism."
"The United States has the necessary instruments to defeat al Qaida, it just needs to shift its strategy [and policy phrasing] and keep in mind that terrorist groups are not eradicated overnight," Jones said.
The RAND study, "How Terrorist Groups End: Lessons for Countering al Qaida," can be found at www.rand.org. The report was prepared by the RAND National Defense Research Institute, a federally funded research and development center that does research for the Office of the Secretary of Defense, the Joint Staff, the unified commands and other defense agencies.
If Democrats want some lessons on crafting the correct political messages, read George Lakoff's book, Don't Think of an Elephant.McCain Charge Against Obama Lacks Evidence: Washington Post
McCain Charge Against Obama Lacks Evidence (Washington Post) - For four days, Sen. John McCain and his allies have accused Sen. Barack Obama of snubbing wounded soldiers by canceling a visit to a military hospital because he could not take reporters with him, despite no evidence that the charge is true.
The McCain Campaign then launched additional attack ads mocking Senator Obama as a self-important celebrity along the likes of Britney Spears and Paris Hilton. From The Huffington Post, "In the end, the ad may tell voters as much about McCain as it does the Illinois Democrat. It was not too long ago that McCain's campaign released a memo -- authored by Rick Davis -- saying it was "critical" to "run a respectful campaign focused on the issues," no matter which the Democratic nominee emerged. Since then, the presumptive Republican nominee has launched attacks on Obama's patriotism, has blamed his opponent for high gas prices, and has accused him of willfully snubbing the troops."
The McCain Campaign then launched additional attack ads mocking Senator Obama as a self-important celebrity along the likes of Britney Spears and Paris Hilton. From The Huffington Post, "In the end, the ad may tell voters as much about McCain as it does the Illinois Democrat. It was not too long ago that McCain's campaign released a memo -- authored by Rick Davis -- saying it was "critical" to "run a respectful campaign focused on the issues," no matter which the Democratic nominee emerged. Since then, the presumptive Republican nominee has launched attacks on Obama's patriotism, has blamed his opponent for high gas prices, and has accused him of willfully snubbing the troops."
Senator Obama has directly responded to McCain's multiple attack ads saying, "You know, I don't pay attention to John McCain's ads, although I do notice he doesn't seem to have anything to say very positive about himself. He seems to only be talking about me... You need to ask John McCain what he's for and not just what he's against."
Here is Senator Obama's video response to the McCain Campaign's "Low Road" political attacks:
Wednesday, July 30, 2008
Home Prices Tumbled By The Steepest Rate Ever In May
The Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller 20-city index dropped by 15.8 percent in May compared with a year ago, a record decline since its inception in 2000. The 10-city index plunged 16.9 percent, its biggest decline in its 21-year history.
Below is the price changes for Dallas:
Standard & Poor’s Press Release PDF
| | October 2007 Level | October/September Change (%) | September/August Change (%) | 1-Year Change (%) |
| Dallas | 121.61 | 1.0% | 1.1% | -3.1% |
| Composite-10 | 181.48 | -1.0% | -1.5% | -16.9% |
| Composite-20 | 168.54 | -0.9% | -1.3% | -15.8% |
Standard & Poor’s Press Release PDF
Obama Would Order Review Of Bush's Executive Orders
Obama Would Order Review Of Bush's Executive Orders (Huffington Post) - "Barack Obama told House Democrats on Tuesday that as president he would order his attorney general to scour White House executive orders and expunge any that 'trample on liberty,' several lawmakers said."
Who Is "Presumptuous" for Calling Obama Presumptuous?
Senator Barack Obama has raised more money than any political campaign in US history, has drawn record-breaking crowds in the US and abroad and has been ahead of John McCain since widespread general election polling began four months ago. Yet the McCain campaign is pushing talking points that Obama is at risk of looking "presumptuous" for his recent trip abroad and for doing what Americans expect of a competent Presidential candidate.
These Republican talking points, which seem to be too often echoed by the traditional media, say that Obama is presumptuous for taking the prudent steps of getting to know the leaders of America's allies around the world, his potential counterparts should he become President of the United States, and for visiting Iraq and Afghanistan where our courageous American troops are serving their second, third and some even their fourth back-to-back tour of duty. Just who is "presumptuous" for calling Senator Obama presumptuous? Read more at Huffington Post...
These Republican talking points, which seem to be too often echoed by the traditional media, say that Obama is presumptuous for taking the prudent steps of getting to know the leaders of America's allies around the world, his potential counterparts should he become President of the United States, and for visiting Iraq and Afghanistan where our courageous American troops are serving their second, third and some even their fourth back-to-back tour of duty. Just who is "presumptuous" for calling Senator Obama presumptuous? Read more at Huffington Post...
Tuesday, July 29, 2008
Texas - Part of the 50 State Strategy
Obama's Campaign To Help Local Democrats Win In TX (The Houston Chronicle)
When Barack Obama's presidential campaign and national Democratic officials talk about putting resources into Texas this year, they're not necessarily focused on beating Republican John McCain. Then again, maybe they are...
The Obama campaign has promised to put 15 coordinators in the state to help Texas down ballot Democratic Candidates win the five seats the party needs for a State House majority and to win in Harris County. Gaining and holding a Democratic majority in the Texas House would help control the redistricting process in 2011 when Texas is expected to gain 3 more seats in the U.S House of Representatives.
Obama's campaign currently projects that the state's 34 electoral votes likely will go to McCain. Then again, McCain's lead over Obama in Texas is likely giving Republicans in the state some concern. Republican pollster Mike Baselice is reported by The Houston Chronicle to have said that the problem for Republicans is not what Obama is going to do [in Texas] but a belief by GOP voters that the nation is on the wrong track. "Half, if not more than half, the Republicans think the country is off-track. That is more concern to me than Obama sending 15 people to the state," Baselice said.
According to a July 2008 Reuters/Zogby national poll of likely voters, 73% of those polled believe the nation is on the wrong track. Democrats have the most negative view of the country’s direction, with 84% saying the U.S. is on the wrong track, a slight decrease from 86% who said the same in June. The vast majority of independents take a similar view, with 82% who said the country is on the wrong track, falling from 86% who said the same last month. More than half of Republicans now believe the nation is headed on the wrong track (55%), up from 51% in June.
The dour mood among many Republicans, who now feel their party leaders have lead the country in the wrong direction, could explain McCain's not so strong 43.3 to 38.9 point lead over Obama in Texas, according to Pollster.com. With McCain polling under 50 percent on top of his not so strong 4.4 percent lead over Obama in Texas, the 15 organizers that the Obama campaign is sending to Texas seems like a prudent investment. Polling numbers showing unhappy Texas Republicans combined with strongly motivated Democrats across all of Texas, including here in Collin County, suggests that, just possibly, Texas Democrats will yet play a prominent roll in setting the nation on a new road on election day!
When Barack Obama's presidential campaign and national Democratic officials talk about putting resources into Texas this year, they're not necessarily focused on beating Republican John McCain. Then again, maybe they are...
The Obama campaign has promised to put 15 coordinators in the state to help Texas down ballot Democratic Candidates win the five seats the party needs for a State House majority and to win in Harris County. Gaining and holding a Democratic majority in the Texas House would help control the redistricting process in 2011 when Texas is expected to gain 3 more seats in the U.S House of Representatives.
Obama's campaign currently projects that the state's 34 electoral votes likely will go to McCain. Then again, McCain's lead over Obama in Texas is likely giving Republicans in the state some concern. Republican pollster Mike Baselice is reported by The Houston Chronicle to have said that the problem for Republicans is not what Obama is going to do [in Texas] but a belief by GOP voters that the nation is on the wrong track. "Half, if not more than half, the Republicans think the country is off-track. That is more concern to me than Obama sending 15 people to the state," Baselice said.
According to a July 2008 Reuters/Zogby national poll of likely voters, 73% of those polled believe the nation is on the wrong track. Democrats have the most negative view of the country’s direction, with 84% saying the U.S. is on the wrong track, a slight decrease from 86% who said the same in June. The vast majority of independents take a similar view, with 82% who said the country is on the wrong track, falling from 86% who said the same last month. More than half of Republicans now believe the nation is headed on the wrong track (55%), up from 51% in June.
The dour mood among many Republicans, who now feel their party leaders have lead the country in the wrong direction, could explain McCain's not so strong 43.3 to 38.9 point lead over Obama in Texas, according to Pollster.com. With McCain polling under 50 percent on top of his not so strong 4.4 percent lead over Obama in Texas, the 15 organizers that the Obama campaign is sending to Texas seems like a prudent investment. Polling numbers showing unhappy Texas Republicans combined with strongly motivated Democrats across all of Texas, including here in Collin County, suggests that, just possibly, Texas Democrats will yet play a prominent roll in setting the nation on a new road on election day!
Obama Has Electoral College Advantage - Pollster Says
The public opinion experts who publish at Pollster.com suggest that states totaling 284 electoral college votes (14 more than the 270 needed to win) lean toward or firmly support Senator Barack Obama, whereas only 147 electoral college votes tally from states that lean toward or firmly support Senator John McCain. Ten states with an additional 107 electoral votes are tossups. The Pollster.com electoral map, as show below, is a fully interactive map that gives polling results for each state simply by mousing over any given state image. Click on the map image to go to the fully interactive map:
Afghanistan Twice As Deadly As Iraq For US Troops In July
Afghanistan surpasses Iraq as deadliest spot for U.S. troops (McClatchy Newspapers) - The American military is debating shifting more troops from Iraq to Afghanistan. Michael Mullen, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, has said that the military can't send more troops to Afghanistan, despite the surge of violence around Kabul and southern Afghanistan. "I don't have troops I can reach for, brigades I can reach, to send into Afghanistan until I have a reduced requirement in Iraq," Mullen said earlier this month at a briefing at the Pentagon. Read More
Shattering Blogger Stereotypes - From Burnt Orange Rpt
Today's myth -- that all bloggers are young, inexperienced, and have no business weighing in on these important political issues - Posted at burntorangereport.com
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